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FIGHT FORECAST
Matchup

Evan Elder vs Samuel Sanches

UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit · Sat 14 Nov 2026 · Lightweight · 3 rounds (verified pre-event record)

No official forecastLocked 1 Nov 2026, 21:00 UTCAdded after lock

No official forecast for this bout

No official forecast: Samuel Sanches has fewer than 3 detailed UFC fights on record.

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Method and distance

Method and finish estimates are unavailable because at least one fighter has fewer than 3 detailed UFC fights on record.

Stat comparison

Descriptive

Reason through the matchup yourself. The brighter side of each bar marks the fighter with the edge.

Striking

  • Significant strikes landedper round
    Evan Elder 25.2, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Significant strikes absorbedper round · lower is better
    Evan Elder 22.0, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Striking differentiallanded minus absorbed, per round
    Evan Elder +3.2, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Striking accuracyshare of significant strikes landed
    Evan Elder 50.9%, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Striking defenseshare of opponents’ significant strikes avoided
    Evan Elder 57.4%, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Knockdownsper round
    Evan Elder 0.14, Samuel Sanches —.

Wrestling and grappling

  • Takedown attemptsper round · wrestling volume
    Evan Elder 0.93, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Takedowns landedper round · takedown production
    Evan Elder 0.14, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Takedown accuracyshare of own attempts completed
    Evan Elder 15.4%, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Takedown defenseshare of opponents’ attempts stopped
    Evan Elder 40.0%, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Control timeminutes:seconds per round
    Evan Elder 0:24, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Submission attemptsper round
    Evan Elder 0.14, Samuel Sanches —.

Fight profile

  • Finish rateshare of UFC wins by KO/TKO or submission
    Evan Elder 33.3%, Samuel Sanches —.
  • Wins by KO/TKOUFC wins
    Evan Elder 0, Samuel Sanches —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Wins by submissionUFC wins
    Evan Elder 1, Samuel Sanches —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Wins by decisionUFC wins
    Evan Elder 2, Samuel Sanches —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Average fight timeelapsed time per UFC bout (minutes:seconds)
    Evan Elder 10:53, Samuel Sanches —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Detailed UFC fightsmore fights = more evidence behind these numbers
    Evan Elder 5, Samuel Sanches —.

Career UFC totals from fights before Sat 14 Nov 2026 only (pre-fight cutoff; this bout and anything after it are excluded); latest included fight Sat 26 Apr 2025. No detailed UFC statistics yet for Samuel Sanches. These are descriptive numbers, not the model's locked inputs, and they are not opponent-adjusted. Small samples move a lot.

The fighters

Evan Elder

UFC record 3-2 · 5 detailed UFC fights · Volume Striker · Distance Striker

Ratings

Ratings V2 scores are not available for this fighter yet.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026
R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: DEVELOPING80.7
CardioEvidence: DEVELOPING67.4

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

Fighter profile →

Samuel Sanches

UFC record 0-0 · 0 detailed UFC fights · Limited UFC Sample

Ratings

Ratings V2 scores are not available for this fighter yet.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026
R1 research scale
Chin—
Cardio—

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

Fighter profile →

Simulate in the Lab

The Lab's simulators currently run on a fixed library of historical example fights, so this exact matchup is not available there yet. They are research tools and can disagree with the official forecast.

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