UFC Fight Night: Cortes Acosta vs Walker · Sat 7 Nov 2026 · Heavyweight
No official forecastLocked 27 Oct 2026, 04:21 UTCRemoved · not graded
This bout was removed from the card after predictions were frozen. It is not on the current card. The frozen forecast below is preserved exactly as locked and will not be graded. See the current card.
No official forecast for this bout
No official forecast: Gabriel Lorenco and Alvin Hines have fewer than 3 detailed UFC fights on record.
Reason through the matchup yourself. The brighter side of each bar marks the fighter with the edge.
Gabriel LorencoAlvin Hines
Striking
Significant strikes landedper round
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 23.2.
—23.2
Significant strikes absorbedper round · lower is better
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 31.8.
—31.8
Striking differentiallanded minus absorbed, per round
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines -8.5.
—-8.5
Striking accuracyshare of significant strikes landed
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 32.8%.
—32.8%
Striking defenseshare of opponents’ significant strikes avoided
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 38.9%.
—38.9%
Knockdownsper round
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 0.00.
—0.00
Wrestling and grappling
Takedown attemptsper round · wrestling volume
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 2.50.
—2.50
Takedowns landedper round · takedown production
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 0.25.
—0.25
Takedown accuracyshare of own attempts completed
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 10.0%.
—10.0%
Control timeminutes:seconds per round
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 0:01.
—0:01
Submission attemptsper round
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 0.00.
—0.00
Fight profile
Wins by KO/TKOUFC wins
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 0. Style difference, no edge.
—0
Wins by submissionUFC wins
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 0. Style difference, no edge.
—0
Wins by decisionUFC wins
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 0. Style difference, no edge.
—0
Detailed UFC fightsmore fights = more evidence behind these numbers
Gabriel Lorenco —, Alvin Hines 2.
—2
Career UFC totals from fights before Sat 7 Nov 2026 only (pre-fight cutoff; this bout and anything after it are excluded); latest included fight Sat 18 Jul 2026. No detailed UFC statistics yet for Gabriel Lorenco. These are descriptive numbers, not the model's locked inputs, and they are not opponent-adjusted. Small samples move a lot.
Ratings V2Provisional — fewer than 5 detailed UFC fights
Striking (offense)—
Power—
Striking defense—
Takedown defense—
WrestlingProvisional measure—
Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (0 detailed fights; as of —). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.
Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026
R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: UNKNOWN—
CardioEvidence: UNKNOWN—
Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.
About these ratings
Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.
Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.
Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.
Ratings V2Provisional — fewer than 5 detailed UFC fights
Striking (offense)73
Power68
Striking defense67
Takedown defense—
WrestlingProvisional measure71
Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (2 detailed fights; as of Sat 18 Jul 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.
Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026
R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: LIMITED80.1
CardioEvidence: UNKNOWN—
Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.
About these ratings
Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.
Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.
Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.
The Lab's simulators currently run on a fixed library of historical example fights, so this exact matchup is not available there yet. They are research tools and can disagree with the official forecast.
