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FIGHT FORECAST
Matchup

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Farman Hasanov

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs Nolan · Sat 31 Oct 2026 · Welterweight · 3 rounds (official UFC listing)

Experimental estimate onlyLocked 27 Oct 2026, 04:21 UTC

Result

Not scored (no official forecast)

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won by KO/TKO · round 3, 2:11

The locked pre-fight forecast below is shown exactly as it was before the event.

No official forecast: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani and Farman Hasanov have fewer than 3 detailed UFC fights on record.

Limited-data estimate

Experimental. Limited-data estimate. Experimental and not part of Fight Forecast's official record.

Evidence: Very limited evidence · 2 prior detailed UFC fights vs 1 prior detailed UFC fight. No model pick is published for limited-data bouts.

Stat comparison

Descriptive

Reason through the matchup yourself. The brighter side of each bar marks the fighter with the edge.

Striking

  • Significant strikes landedper round
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 19.7, Farman Hasanov 7.0. Edge: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani.
  • Significant strikes absorbedper round · lower is better
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 20.0, Farman Hasanov 5.0. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Striking differentiallanded minus absorbed, per round
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani -0.3, Farman Hasanov +2.0. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Striking accuracyshare of significant strikes landed
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 44.9%, Farman Hasanov 51.2%. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Striking defenseshare of opponents’ significant strikes avoided
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 57.0%, Farman Hasanov 70.6%. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Knockdownsper round
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0.00, Farman Hasanov 0.00.

Wrestling and grappling

  • Takedown attemptsper round · wrestling volume
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 2.17, Farman Hasanov 9.00. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Takedowns landedper round · takedown production
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 1.00, Farman Hasanov 5.67. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Takedown accuracyshare of own attempts completed
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 46.2%, Farman Hasanov 63.0%. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Takedown defenseshare of opponents’ attempts stopped
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 100.0%, Farman Hasanov —.
  • Control timeminutes:seconds per round
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 1:14, Farman Hasanov 3:44. Edge: Farman Hasanov.
  • Submission attemptsper round
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0.67, Farman Hasanov 0.00. Edge: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani.

Fight profile

  • Finish rateshare of UFC wins by KO/TKO or submission
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0.0%, Farman Hasanov 0.0%.
  • Wins by KO/TKOUFC wins
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0, Farman Hasanov 0. Style difference, no edge.
  • Wins by submissionUFC wins
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 0, Farman Hasanov 0. Style difference, no edge.
  • Wins by decisionUFC wins
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 2, Farman Hasanov 1. Style difference, no edge.
  • Average fight timeelapsed time per UFC bout (minutes:seconds)
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 15:00, Farman Hasanov —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Detailed UFC fightsmore fights = more evidence behind these numbers
    Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 2, Farman Hasanov 1. Edge: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani.

Career UFC totals from fights before Sat 31 Oct 2026 only (pre-fight cutoff; this bout and anything after it are excluded); latest included fight Sat 18 Jul 2026. These are descriptive numbers, not the model's locked inputs, and they are not opponent-adjusted. Small samples move a lot.

The fighters

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

UFC record 2-0 · 2 detailed UFC fights · Submission Hunter · Wrestling Heavy

Ratings

Ratings V2Provisional — fewer than 5 detailed UFC fights
Striking (offense)76
Power68
Striking defense73
Takedown defense83
WrestlingProvisional measure80

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (2 detailed fights; as of Sat 18 Jul 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026
R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: LIMITED81.0
CardioEvidence: LIMITED69.5

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Fighter profile →

Farman Hasanov

UFC record 1-0 · 1 detailed UFC fights · Limited UFC Sample

Ratings

Ratings V2Provisional — fewer than 5 detailed UFC fights
Striking (offense)—
Power—
Striking defense—
Takedown defense—
WrestlingProvisional measure—

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (1 detailed fights; as of Sat 27 Jun 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026
R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: UNKNOWN—
CardioEvidence: UNKNOWN—

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Fighter profile →

Post-fight review

Review pending

A written review of what happened versus the locked forecast has not been published for this bout yet.

Simulate in the Lab

The Lab's simulators currently run on a fixed library of historical example fights, so this exact matchup is not available there yet. They are research tools and can disagree with the official forecast.

Open the Lab

Model details
Model
Winner V5 · experimental low sample
Training data through
2026-09-19
Locked at
27 Oct 2026, 04:21 UTC
Forecast reference
4eee76ab7254