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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Alexander Hernandez

“El Gran Chango”

Lightweight · UFC record 11-8 · 19 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 3 Oct 2026

Power Striker

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)74
Power90
Striking defense79
Takedown defense75
WrestlingProvisional measure68

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (19 detailed fights; as of Sat 3 Oct 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED83.9
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED70.1

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
175 cm (5'9")
Reach
183 cm (6'0")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34

Last 3: W W L (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

19 detailed UFC fights · 43 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 3 Oct 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed19.2significant, per round
Strikes absorbed19.9per round
Striking differential-0.7per round
Takedown attempts0.86per round
Takedown defense68.8%of attempts stopped
Finish rate54.5%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
19.2
Significant strikes absorbed per round
19.9
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
-0.7
Striking accuracy
40.5%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
59.6%
Knockdowns per round
0.19
Target: head / body / leg
56.4% / 30.6% / 13.1%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
84.2% / 7.4% / 8.4%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
0.86
Takedowns landed per round
0.30
Takedown accuracy
35.1%
Takedown defense
68.8%
Control time per round
0:37
Submission attempts per round
0.02
Reversals per round
0.05

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
11-8-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
54.5%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
6 · 0 · 5
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
3 · 1 · 4
Knockdowns scored / suffered
8 / 2
Average fight time
11:20 (over 17 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Alexander Hernandez — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 3 Oct 2026Rafael Dos AnjosWKO/TKO PunchR2 3:12UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang
Sat 25 Apr 2026Rafa GarciaLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Sat 13 Sep 2025Diego FerreiraWKO/TKO PunchesR2 3:46Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
Sat 16 Aug 2025Chase HooperWKO/TKO PunchR1 4:58UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
Sat 15 Mar 2025Kurt HolobaughWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2
Show all 19 UFC fights
Alexander Hernandez — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 5 Oct 2024Austin HubbardWS-DECR3 5:00UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Sat 6 Apr 2024Damon JacksonLS-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2
Sat 7 Oct 2023Bill AlgeoLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Sat 18 Feb 2023Jim MillerWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield
Sat 10 Dec 2022Billy QuarantilloLKO/TKO PunchesR2 4:30UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
Sat 12 Feb 2022Renato MoicanoLSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 1:23UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2
Sat 2 Oct 2021Mike BreedenWKO/TKO PunchR1 1:20UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker
Sat 27 Feb 2021Thiago MoisesLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Sat 31 Oct 2020Chris GruetzemacherWKO/TKO PunchesR1 1:46UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva
Wed 13 May 2020Drew DoberLKO/TKO PunchesR2 4:25UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Sat 20 Jul 2019Francisco TrinaldoWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Sat 19 Jan 2019Donald CerroneLKO/TKO KickR2 3:43UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw
Sat 28 Jul 2018Olivier Aubin-MercierWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Sat 3 Mar 2018Beneil DariushWKO/TKO PunchR1 0:42UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya

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