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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Paulo Costa

“The Eraser”

Light Heavyweight · UFC record 8-4 · 12 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 11 Apr 2026

Volume StrikerDistance Striker

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)89
Power85
Striking defense64
Takedown defense82
WrestlingProvisional measure67

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (12 detailed fights; as of Sat 11 Apr 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED81.9
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED78.4

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
185 cm (6'1")
Reach
183 cm (6'0")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35

Last 3: L L W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

12 detailed UFC fights · 34 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 11 Apr 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed27.5significant, per round
Strikes absorbed26.6per round
Striking differential+0.9per round
Takedown attempts0.21per round
Takedown defense77.8%of attempts stopped
Finish rate62.5%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
27.5
Significant strikes absorbed per round
26.6
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+0.9
Striking accuracy
59.3%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
49.4%
Knockdowns per round
0.18
Target: head / body / leg
45.2% / 40.6% / 14.2%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
88.4% / 5.2% / 6.3%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
0.21
Takedowns landed per round
0.09
Takedown accuracy
42.9%
Takedown defense
77.8%
Control time per round
0:15
Submission attempts per round
0.00
Reversals per round
0.03

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
8-4-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
62.5%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
5 · 0 · 3
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 0 · 3
Knockdowns scored / suffered
6 / 2
Average fight time
13:41 (over 11 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Paulo Costa — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 11 Apr 2026Azamat MurzakanovWKO/TKO KickR3 1:23UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Sat 19 Jul 2025Roman KopylovWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Sat 1 Jun 2024Sean StricklandLS-DECR5 5:00UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
Sat 17 Feb 2024Robert WhittakerLU-DECR3 5:00UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Sat 20 Aug 2022Luke RockholdWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
Show all 12 UFC fights
Paulo Costa — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 23 Oct 2021Marvin VettoriLU-DECR5 5:00UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori
Sat 26 Sep 2020Israel AdesanyaLKO/TKO PunchR2 3:59UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa
Sat 17 Aug 2019Yoel RomeroWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
Sat 7 Jul 2018Uriah HallWKO/TKO PunchesR2 2:38UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
Sat 4 Nov 2017Johny HendricksWKO/TKO PunchesR2 1:23UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
Sat 3 Jun 2017Oluwale BamgboseWKO/TKO PunchesR2 1:06UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
Sat 11 Mar 2017Garreth McLellanWKO/TKO PunchR1 1:17UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum

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