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FIGHT FORECAST
Kyle Nelson
Fighter profile

Kyle Nelson

“The Monster”

Lightweight · UFC record 5-7-1 · 13 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 17 Oct 2026

Balanced / Hybrid

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)72
Power71
Striking defense72
Takedown defense74
WrestlingProvisional measure69

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (13 detailed fights; as of Sat 17 Oct 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED80.5
CardioEvidence: DEVELOPING63.3

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
180 cm (5'11")
Reach
180 cm (5'11")
Stance
Switch
Age
35

Last 3: L W L (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

13 detailed UFC fights · 28 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 17 Oct 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed14.9significant, per round
Strikes absorbed19.1per round
Striking differential-4.2per round
Takedown attempts1.39per round
Takedown defense66.7%of attempts stopped
Finish rate40.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
14.9
Significant strikes absorbed per round
19.1
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
-4.2
Striking accuracy
46.0%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
53.8%
Knockdowns per round
0.04
Target: head / body / leg
56.2% / 26.1% / 17.7%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
84.0% / 12.9% / 3.1%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
1.39
Takedowns landed per round
0.32
Takedown accuracy
23.1%
Takedown defense
66.7%
Control time per round
0:50
Submission attempts per round
0.14
Reversals per round
0.00

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
5-7-1
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
40.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
2 · 0 · 3
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
5 · 1 · 1
Knockdowns scored / suffered
1 / 2
Average fight time
9:51 (over 11 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Kyle Nelson — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 17 Oct 2026Cristian PerezLKO/TKO PunchesR1 0:27UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Sat 28 Mar 2026Terrance McKinneyLKO/TKO PunchesR1 0:24UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Sat 18 Oct 2025Matt FrevolaWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Sat 7 Sep 2024Steve GarciaLKO/TKO ElbowsR1 3:59UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady
Sat 30 Mar 2024Bill AlgeoWKO/TKO PunchesR1 4:00UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Show all 13 UFC fights
Kyle Nelson — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 16 Sep 2023Fernando PadillaWU-DECR3 5:00Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Sat 10 Jun 2023Blake BilderWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Sat 4 Feb 2023Dooho ChoiDM-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac
Sat 23 Jul 2022Jai HerbertLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Sat 12 Sep 2020Billy QuarantilloLKO/TKO PunchR3 0:07UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill
Sat 21 Sep 2019Marco Polo ReyesWKO/TKO PunchR1 1:36UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Sat 4 May 2019Matt SaylesLSUB Arm TriangleR3 3:16UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
Sat 8 Dec 2018Diego FerreiraLKO/TKO PunchesR2 1:23UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega

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