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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Ian Machado Garry

“The Future”

Welterweight · UFC record 10-2 · 12 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 15 Aug 2026

Distance StrikerVolume Striker

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)88
Power75
Striking defense74
Takedown defense80
WrestlingProvisional measure69

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (12 detailed fights; as of Sat 15 Aug 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: DEVELOPING83.0
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED93.8

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
190 cm (6'3")
Reach
188 cm (6'2")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28

Last 3: L W W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

12 detailed UFC fights · 38 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 15 Aug 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed21.2significant, per round
Strikes absorbed12.8per round
Striking differential+8.4per round
Takedown attempts0.84per round
Takedown defense71.1%of attempts stopped
Finish rate30.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
21.2
Significant strikes absorbed per round
12.8
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+8.4
Striking accuracy
53.7%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
52.8%
Knockdowns per round
0.11
Target: head / body / leg
55.2% / 20.4% / 24.4%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
90.3% / 5.6% / 4.1%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
0.84
Takedowns landed per round
0.26
Takedown accuracy
31.2%
Takedown defense
71.1%
Control time per round
0:31
Submission attempts per round
0.11
Reversals per round
0.00

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
10-2-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
30.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
3 · 0 · 7
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
0 · 0 · 2
Knockdowns scored / suffered
4 / 2
Average fight time
16:34 (over 11 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Ian Machado Garry — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 15 Aug 2026Islam MakhachevLU-DECR5 5:00UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Sat 22 Nov 2025Belal MuhammadWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Sat 26 Apr 2025Carlos PratesWU-DECR5 5:00UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
Sat 7 Dec 2024Shavkat RakhmonovLU-DECR5 5:00UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Sat 29 Jun 2024Michael PageWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2
Show all 12 UFC fights
Ian Machado Garry — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 17 Feb 2024Geoff NealWS-DECR3 5:00UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria
Sat 19 Aug 2023Neil MagnyWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Sat 13 May 2023Daniel RodriguezWKO/TKO KickR1 2:57UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Sat 4 Mar 2023Song KenanWKO/TKO PunchesR3 4:22UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Sat 2 Jul 2022Gabe GreenWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Sat 9 Apr 2022Darian WeeksWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie
Sat 6 Nov 2021Jordan WilliamsWKO/TKO PunchR1 4:59UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

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