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FIGHT FORECAST
Tom Nolan
Fighter profile

Tom Nolan

“Big Train”

Lightweight · UFC record 6-1 · 7 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 31 Oct 2026

Volume StrikerSubmission Hunter

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)85
Power77
Striking defense70
Takedown defense67
WrestlingProvisional measure73

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (7 detailed fights; as of Sat 31 Oct 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: DEVELOPING78.8
CardioEvidence: LIMITED67.9

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
190 cm (6'3")
Reach
185 cm (6'1")
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26

Last 3: W W W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

7 detailed UFC fights · 15 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 31 Oct 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed21.6significant, per round
Strikes absorbed14.3per round
Striking differential+7.3per round
Takedown attempts1.07per round
Takedown defense52.9%of attempts stopped
Finish rate50.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
21.6
Significant strikes absorbed per round
14.3
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+7.3
Striking accuracy
49.5%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
47.8%
Knockdowns per round
0.07
Target: head / body / leg
56.8% / 28.1% / 15.1%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
69.4% / 13.9% / 16.7%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
1.07
Takedowns landed per round
0.33
Takedown accuracy
31.2%
Takedown defense
52.9%
Control time per round
0:44
Submission attempts per round
0.33
Reversals per round
0.13

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
6-1-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
50.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
2 · 1 · 3
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 0 · 0
Knockdowns scored / suffered
1 / 2
Average fight time
10:36 (over 5 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Tom Nolan — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 31 Oct 2026Renato MoicanoWKO/TKO ElbowsR3 1:28UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
Sat 6 Jun 2026Fares ZiamWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Sat 27 Sep 2025Charlie CampbellWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 4:08UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Sat 8 Feb 2025Viacheslav BorshchevWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sat 17 Aug 2024Alex ReyesWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Show all 7 UFC fights
Tom Nolan — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 18 May 2024Victor MartinezWKO/TKO KneeR1 3:50UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Sat 13 Jan 2024Nikolas MottaLKO/TKO PunchesR1 1:03UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2

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