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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Mario Bautista

Bantamweight · UFC record 12-3 · 15 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 11 Jul 2026

Volume StrikerSubmission Hunter

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)88
Power75
Striking defense68
Takedown defense66
WrestlingProvisional measure84

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (15 detailed fights; as of Sat 11 Jul 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED82.0
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED94.1

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
175 cm (5'9")
Reach
175 cm (5'9")
Stance
Switch
Age
33

Last 3: W L W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

15 detailed UFC fights · 34 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 11 Jul 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed25.4significant, per round
Strikes absorbed19.2per round
Striking differential+6.2per round
Takedown attempts1.97per round
Takedown defense57.1%of attempts stopped
Finish rate41.7%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
25.4
Significant strikes absorbed per round
19.2
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+6.2
Striking accuracy
50.3%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
54.1%
Knockdowns per round
0.09
Target: head / body / leg
61.5% / 26.0% / 12.5%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
80.4% / 12.8% / 6.7%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
1.97
Takedowns landed per round
0.76
Takedown accuracy
38.8%
Takedown defense
57.1%
Control time per round
1:03
Submission attempts per round
0.32
Reversals per round
0.03

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
12-3-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
41.7%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 4 · 7
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 1 · 1
Knockdowns scored / suffered
3 / 2
Average fight time
10:14 (over 12 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Mario Bautista — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 11 Jul 2026Cory SandhagenWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Sat 7 Feb 2026Vinicius OliveiraWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 4:46UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Sat 25 Oct 2025Umar NurmagomedovLU-DECR3 5:00UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane
Sat 7 Jun 2025Patchy MixWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Sat 5 Oct 2024Jose AldoWS-DECR3 5:00UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
Show all 15 UFC fights
Mario Bautista — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 13 Jan 2024Ricky SimonWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2
Sat 19 Aug 2023Da'Mon BlackshearWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
Sat 11 Mar 2023Guido CannettiWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 3:18UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Sat 5 Nov 2022Benito LopezWSUB Triangle ArmbarR1 4:54UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos
Sat 25 Jun 2022Brian KelleherWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 2:27UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
Sat 19 Feb 2022Jay PerrinWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
Sat 6 Mar 2021Trevin JonesLKO/TKO PunchR2 0:47UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Sat 8 Feb 2020Miles JohnsWKO/TKO Flying KneeR2 1:41UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Sat 20 Jul 2019Jin Soo SonWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
Sat 19 Jan 2019Cory SandhagenLSUB ArmbarR1 3:31UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw

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