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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Myktybek Orolbai

Welterweight · UFC record 5-2 · 7 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 15 Aug 2026

Wrestling HeavyControl Grappler

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)76
Power78
Striking defense76
Takedown defense61
WrestlingProvisional measure89

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (7 detailed fights; as of Sat 15 Aug 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: LIMITED81.0
CardioEvidence: DEVELOPING57.4

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
178 cm (5'10")
Reach
188 cm (6'2")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28

Last 3: W W W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

7 detailed UFC fights · 16 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 15 Aug 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed12.3significant, per round
Strikes absorbed11.4per round
Striking differential+0.9per round
Takedown attempts4.19per round
Takedown defense36.4%of attempts stopped
Finish rate60.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
12.3
Significant strikes absorbed per round
11.4
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+0.9
Striking accuracy
52.2%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
52.6%
Knockdowns per round
0.12
Target: head / body / leg
76.1% / 13.2% / 10.7%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
61.4% / 3.0% / 35.5%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
4.19
Takedowns landed per round
2.50
Takedown accuracy
59.7%
Takedown defense
36.4%
Control time per round
2:27
Submission attempts per round
0.12
Reversals per round
0.06

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
5-2-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
60.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 2 · 2
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
0 · 1 · 1
Knockdowns scored / suffered
2 / 1
Average fight time
11:50 (over 5 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Myktybek Orolbai — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 15 Aug 2026Jeremiah WellsLSUB Guillotine ChokeR3 1:24UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry
Sat 14 Mar 2026Chris CurtisWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos
Sat 22 Nov 2025Jack HermanssonWKO/TKO PunchR1 2:46UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Sat 21 Jun 2025Tofiq MusayevWSUB KimuraR1 4:35UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.
Sat 26 Oct 2024Mateusz RebeckiLS-DECR3 5:00UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway
Show all 7 UFC fights
Myktybek Orolbai — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 4 May 2024Elves BrenerWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
Sat 18 Nov 2023Uros MedicWSUB Neck CrankR2 4:12UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig

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