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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Jesus Aguilar

Flyweight · UFC record 4-3 · 7 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 7 Mar 2026

Submission HunterDefensive Striker

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)68
Power72
Striking defense83
Takedown defense65
WrestlingProvisional measure70

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (7 detailed fights; as of Sat 7 Mar 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: LIMITED82.6
CardioEvidence: LIMITED80.8

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
163 cm (5'4")
Reach
157 cm (5'2")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30

Last 3: W L W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

7 detailed UFC fights · 15 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 7 Mar 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed11.8significant, per round
Strikes absorbed11.1per round
Striking differential+0.7per round
Takedown attempts1.27per round
Takedown defense46.2%of attempts stopped
Finish rate50.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
11.8
Significant strikes absorbed per round
11.1
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+0.7
Striking accuracy
37.3%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
60.7%
Knockdowns per round
0.07
Target: head / body / leg
49.1% / 23.7% / 27.1%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
87.6% / 9.6% / 2.8%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
1.27
Takedowns landed per round
0.33
Takedown accuracy
26.3%
Takedown defense
46.2%
Control time per round
0:38
Submission attempts per round
0.33
Reversals per round
0.07

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
4-3-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
50.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 1 · 2
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
0 · 1 · 2
Knockdowns scored / suffered
1 / 0
Average fight time
12:03 (over 5 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Jesus Aguilar — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 7 Mar 2026SumudaerjiLU-DECR3 5:00UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Sat 13 Sep 2025Luis GuruleWU-DECR3 5:00Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
Sat 15 Feb 2025Rafael EstevamLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Sat 17 Aug 2024Stewart NicollWSUB Guillotine ChokeR1 2:39UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Sat 24 Feb 2024Mateus MendoncaWS-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2
Show all 7 UFC fights
Jesus Aguilar — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 8 Jul 2023Shannon RossWKO/TKO PunchR1 0:17UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Sat 4 Feb 2023Tatsuro TairaLSUB Triangle ArmbarR1 4:20UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac

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