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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Clay Guida

“The Carpenter”

Lightweight · UFC record 18-19 · 37 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 7 Dec 2024

Control GrapplerWrestling Heavy

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)62
Power67
Striking defense81
Takedown defense77
WrestlingProvisional measure79

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (37 detailed fights; as of Sat 7 Dec 2024). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED82.3
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED71.9

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
170 cm (5'7")
Reach
178 cm (5'10")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
44

Last 3: W L L (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

37 detailed UFC fights · 93 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 7 Dec 2024; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed12.4significant, per round
Strikes absorbed14.5per round
Striking differential-2.0per round
Takedown attempts2.49per round
Takedown defense69.4%of attempts stopped
Finish rate38.9%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
12.4
Significant strikes absorbed per round
14.5
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
-2.0
Striking accuracy
33.2%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
60.9%
Knockdowns per round
0.06
Target: head / body / leg
59.8% / 16.1% / 24.1%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
65.1% / 13.7% / 21.2%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
2.49
Takedowns landed per round
0.84
Takedown accuracy
33.6%
Takedown defense
69.4%
Control time per round
1:41
Submission attempts per round
0.17
Reversals per round
0.02

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
18-19-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
38.9%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
2 · 5 · 11
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
2 · 8 · 9
Knockdowns scored / suffered
6 / 6
Average fight time
11:00 (over 26 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Clay Guida — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 7 Dec 2024Chase HooperLSUB ArmbarR1 3:41UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Sat 2 Dec 2023Joaquim SilvaLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan
Sat 15 Apr 2023Rafa GarciaLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Sat 3 Dec 2022Scott HoltzmanWS-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Sat 23 Apr 2022Claudio PuellesLSUB KneebarR1 3:01UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade
Show all 37 UFC fights
Clay Guida — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 4 Dec 2021Leonardo SantosWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 1:21UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
Sat 21 Aug 2021Mark MadsenLS-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum
Sat 6 Feb 2021Michael JohnsonWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov
Sat 20 Jun 2020King GreenLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov
Sat 3 Aug 2019Jim MillerLSUB Guillotine ChokeR1 0:58UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Sat 11 May 2019BJ PennWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
Sat 9 Jun 2018Charles OliveiraLSUB Guillotine ChokeR1 2:18UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Sat 11 Nov 2017Joe LauzonWKO/TKO PunchR1 1:07UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Sun 25 Jun 2017Erik KochWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Sat 4 Jun 2016Brian OrtegaLKO/TKO KneeR3 4:40UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Sat 7 Nov 2015Thiago TavaresLSUB Guillotine ChokeR1 0:39UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sat 4 Apr 2015Robert PeraltaWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Sat 26 Jul 2014Dennis BermudezLSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 2:57UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
Fri 11 Apr 2014Tatsuya KawajiriWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Sat 31 Aug 2013Chad MendesLKO/TKO PunchR3 0:30UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
Sat 26 Jan 2013Hatsu HiokiWS-DECR3 5:00UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
Fri 22 Jun 2012Gray MaynardLS-DECR5 5:00UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
Sat 12 Nov 2011Benson HendersonLU-DECR3 5:00UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos
Sat 4 Jun 2011Anthony PettisWU-DECR3 5:00The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Sat 1 Jan 2011Takanori GomiWSUB Guillotine ChokeR2 4:27UFC 125: Resolution
Sat 7 Aug 2010Rafael Dos AnjosWSUB InjuryR3 1:51UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Sun 21 Mar 2010Shannon GugertyWSUB Arm TriangleR2 3:40UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Sat 12 Dec 2009Kenny FlorianLSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 2:19UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez
Sat 20 Jun 2009Diego SanchezLS-DECR3 5:00The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Sat 31 Jan 2009Nate DiazWS-DECR3 5:00UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2
Wed 17 Sep 2008Mac DanzigWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer
Wed 2 Apr 2008Samy SchiavoWKO/TKO PunchesR1 4:15UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon
Sat 8 Dec 2007Roger HuertaLSUB Rear Naked ChokeR3 0:51The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale
Sat 25 Aug 2007Marcus AurelioWS-DECR3 5:00UFC 74: Respect
Sat 16 Jun 2007Tyson GriffinLS-DECR3 5:00UFC 72: Victory
Thu 25 Jan 2007Din ThomasLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Sat 14 Oct 2006Justin JamesWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 4:42UFC 64: Unstoppable

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