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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Michael Chiesa

“Maverick”

Welterweight · UFC record 15-7 · 22 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 28 Mar 2026

Control GrapplerWrestling Heavy

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)65
Power60
Striking defense87
Takedown defense79
WrestlingProvisional measure85

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (22 detailed fights; as of Sat 28 Mar 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: DEVELOPING88.2
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED64.3

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
185 cm (6'1")
Reach
190 cm (6'3")
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38

Last 3: W W W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

22 detailed UFC fights · 48 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 28 Mar 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed8.5significant, per round
Strikes absorbed7.3per round
Striking differential+1.2per round
Takedown attempts1.83per round
Takedown defense65.8%of attempts stopped
Finish rate60.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
8.5
Significant strikes absorbed per round
7.3
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+1.2
Striking accuracy
40.7%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
58.0%
Knockdowns per round
0.02
Target: head / body / leg
73.1% / 21.5% / 5.4%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
60.9% / 15.9% / 23.2%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
1.83
Takedowns landed per round
0.88
Takedown accuracy
47.7%
Takedown defense
65.8%
Control time per round
1:41
Submission attempts per round
0.29
Reversals per round
0.04

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
15-7-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
60.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
0 · 9 · 6
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 5 · 1
Knockdowns scored / suffered
1 / 0
Average fight time
9:31 (over 21 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Michael Chiesa — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 28 Mar 2026Niko PriceWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 1:03UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Sat 14 Jun 2025Court McGeeWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Sat 7 Dec 2024Max GriffinWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR3 1:56UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Sat 3 Aug 2024Tony FergusonWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 3:44UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov
Sat 29 Jul 2023Kevin HollandLSUB D'Arce ChokeR1 2:39UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
Show all 22 UFC fights
Michael Chiesa — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 20 Nov 2021Sean BradyLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Sat 7 Aug 2021Vicente LuqueLSUB D'Arce ChokeR1 3:25UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Wed 20 Jan 2021Neil MagnyWU-DECR5 5:00UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Sat 25 Jan 2020Rafael Dos AnjosWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos
Sat 6 Jul 2019Diego SanchezWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Sat 29 Dec 2018Carlos ConditWSUB KimuraR2 0:56UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Sat 7 Jul 2018Anthony PettisLSUB Triangle ChokeR2 0:52UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
Sun 25 Jun 2017Kevin LeeLSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 4:37UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee
Sat 16 Apr 2016Beneil DariushWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 1:20UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
Thu 10 Dec 2015Jim MillerWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 2:57UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Sat 4 Apr 2015Mitch ClarkeWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Fri 5 Sep 2014Joe LauzonLKO/TKOR2 2:14UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi
Sat 24 May 2014Francisco TrinaldoWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw
Wed 6 Nov 2013Colton SmithWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 1:41UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Sat 27 Jul 2013Jorge MasvidalLSUB D'Arce ChokeR2 4:59UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
Sat 23 Feb 2013Anton KuivanenWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 2:29UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fri 1 Jun 2012Al IaquintaWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 2:47The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale

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