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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Rafa Garcia

“Gifted”

Lightweight · UFC record 7-5 · 12 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 12 Sep 2026

Volume StrikerWrestling Heavy

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)78
Power69
Striking defense76
Takedown defense85
WrestlingProvisional measure85

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (12 detailed fights; as of Sat 12 Sep 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED88.2
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED71.2

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
170 cm (5'7")
Reach
178 cm (5'10")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32

Last 3: W W W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

12 detailed UFC fights · 34 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 12 Sep 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed20.9significant, per round
Strikes absorbed22.6per round
Striking differential-1.7per round
Takedown attempts2.32per round
Takedown defense77.1%of attempts stopped
Finish rate28.6%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
20.9
Significant strikes absorbed per round
22.6
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
-1.7
Striking accuracy
43.6%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
60.7%
Knockdowns per round
0.03
Target: head / body / leg
79.9% / 11.8% / 8.3%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
84.8% / 10.3% / 4.9%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
2.32
Takedowns landed per round
0.97
Takedown accuracy
41.8%
Takedown defense
77.1%
Control time per round
0:60
Submission attempts per round
0.12
Reversals per round
0.03

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
7-5-0
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
28.6%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 1 · 5
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
1 · 0 · 4
Knockdowns scored / suffered
1 / 0
Average fight time
13:24 (over 10 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Rafa Garcia — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 12 Sep 2026RongzhuLU-DECR3 5:00Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Sat 25 Apr 2026Alexander HernandezWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Sat 13 Sep 2025Jared GordonWKO/TKO ElbowsR3 2:27Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
Sat 29 Mar 2025Vinc PichelWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Sat 12 Oct 2024Grant DawsonLKO/TKO PunchesR2 1:42UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Show all 12 UFC fights
Rafa Garcia — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 15 Apr 2023Clay GuidaWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Sat 17 Dec 2022MaheshateWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Sat 30 Jul 2022Drakkar KloseLU-DECR3 5:00UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Sat 16 Apr 2022Jesse RonsonWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 4:50UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad
Sat 20 Nov 2021Natan LevyWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
Sat 31 Jul 2021Chris GruetzemacherLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland
Sat 13 Mar 2021Nasrat HaqparastLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad

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