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FIGHT FORECAST
Fighter profile

Paul Craig

“Bearjew”

Light Heavyweight · UFC record 9-10-1 (1 NC) · 21 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 6 Sep 2025

Submission Hunter

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)66
Power63
Striking defense65
Takedown defense57
WrestlingProvisional measure67

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (21 detailed fights; as of Sat 6 Sep 2025). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED78.3
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED83.4

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
190 cm (6'3")
Reach
193 cm (6'4")
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38

Last 3: L L NC (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

21 detailed UFC fights · 39 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 6 Sep 2025; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed10.8significant, per round
Strikes absorbed13.1per round
Striking differential-2.3per round
Takedown attempts2.18per round
Takedown defense35.3%of attempts stopped
Finish rate100.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
10.8
Significant strikes absorbed per round
13.1
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
-2.3
Striking accuracy
45.4%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
43.4%
Knockdowns per round
0.03
Target: head / body / leg
50.1% / 31.6% / 18.3%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
67.2% / 13.5% / 19.2%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
2.18
Takedowns landed per round
0.41
Takedown accuracy
18.8%
Takedown defense
35.3%
Control time per round
0:35
Submission attempts per round
0.38
Reversals per round
0.08

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
9-10-1, 1 NC
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
100.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
3 · 6 · 0
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
6 · 2 · 2
Knockdowns scored / suffered
1 / 4
Average fight time
6:53 (over 17 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Paul Craig — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 6 Sep 2025Modestas BukauskasLKO/TKO ElbowR1 5:00UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Sat 14 Jun 2025Rodolfo BellatoNCCNCR1 4:59UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
Sat 16 Nov 2024Bo NickalLU-DECR3 5:00UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Sat 4 May 2024Caio BorralhoLKO/TKO PunchesR2 2:10UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg
Sat 18 Nov 2023Brendan AllenLSUB Rear Naked ChokeR3 0:38UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
Show all 21 UFC fights
Paul Craig — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 22 Jul 2023Andre MunizWKO/TKO ElbowsR2 4:40UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Sat 21 Jan 2023Johnny WalkerLKO/TKO PunchesR1 2:16UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Sat 23 Jul 2022Volkan OezdemirLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
Sat 19 Mar 2022Nikita KrylovWSUB Triangle ChokeR1 3:57UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
Sat 12 Jun 2021Jamahal HillWKO/TKO PunchesR1 1:59UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Sat 21 Nov 2020Mauricio RuaWKO/TKO PunchesR2 3:36UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
Sat 25 Jul 2020Gadzhimurad AntigulovWSUB Triangle ChokeR1 2:06UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till
Sat 16 Nov 2019Mauricio RuaDS-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sat 21 Sep 2019Vinicius MoreiraWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 3:19UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Sat 29 Jun 2019Alonzo MenifieldLKO/TKO PunchR1 3:19UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Sat 30 Mar 2019Kennedy NzechukwuWSUB Triangle ChokeR3 4:20UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Gaethje
Sat 1 Dec 2018Jimmy CruteLSUB KimuraR3 4:51UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Sat 17 Mar 2018Magomed AnkalaevWSUB Triangle ChokeR3 4:59UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov
Sun 16 Jul 2017Khalil Rountree Jr.LKO/TKO PunchR1 4:56UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Ponzinibbio
Sat 4 Mar 2017Tyson PedroLKO/TKO ElbowsR1 4:10UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
Sat 17 Dec 2016Henrique da SilvaWSUB ArmbarR2 1:59UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson

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