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FIGHT FORECAST
Matchup

Kyle Nelson vs CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ

UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs Malott · Sat 17 Oct 2026 · Lightweight

No official forecast

Result

Not scored (no official forecast)

Result details unavailable.

The locked pre-fight forecast below is shown exactly as it was before the event.

No official forecast for this bout

No official forecast for this bout.

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Stat comparison

Descriptive

Reason through the matchup yourself. The brighter side of each bar marks the fighter with the edge.

Striking

  • Significant strikes landedper round
    Kyle Nelson 15.3, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Significant strikes absorbedper round · lower is better
    Kyle Nelson 19.4, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Striking differentiallanded minus absorbed, per round
    Kyle Nelson -4.1, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Striking accuracyshare of significant strikes landed
    Kyle Nelson 45.8%, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Striking defenseshare of opponents’ significant strikes avoided
    Kyle Nelson 53.8%, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Knockdownsper round
    Kyle Nelson 0.04, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.

Wrestling and grappling

  • Takedown attemptsper round · wrestling volume
    Kyle Nelson 1.44, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Takedowns landedper round · takedown production
    Kyle Nelson 0.33, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Takedown accuracyshare of own attempts completed
    Kyle Nelson 23.1%, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Takedown defenseshare of opponents’ attempts stopped
    Kyle Nelson 66.7%, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Control timeminutes:seconds per round
    Kyle Nelson 0:52, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Submission attemptsper round
    Kyle Nelson 0.15, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.

Fight profile

  • Finish rateshare of UFC wins by KO/TKO or submission
    Kyle Nelson 40.0%, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.
  • Wins by KO/TKOUFC wins
    Kyle Nelson 2, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Wins by submissionUFC wins
    Kyle Nelson 0, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Wins by decisionUFC wins
    Kyle Nelson 3, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Average fight timeelapsed time per UFC bout (minutes:seconds)
    Kyle Nelson 9:51, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —. Style difference, no edge.
  • Detailed UFC fightsmore fights = more evidence behind these numbers
    Kyle Nelson 12, CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ —.

Career UFC totals from fights before Sat 17 Oct 2026 only (pre-fight cutoff; this bout and anything after it are excluded); latest included fight Sat 28 Mar 2026. No detailed UFC statistics yet for CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ. These are descriptive numbers, not the model's locked inputs, and they are not opponent-adjusted. Small samples move a lot.

The fighters

Kyle Nelson

UFC record 5-6-1 · 12 detailed UFC fights · Balanced / Hybrid

Ratings

Ratings V2 scores are not available for this fighter yet.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026
R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED80.5
CardioEvidence: DEVELOPING63.3

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

Fighter profile →

CRISTIAN PEREZ GONZALEZ

UFC record 0-0 · 0 detailed UFC fights

Ratings

Ratings V2 scores are not available for this fighter yet.

Post-fight review

Review pending

A written review of what happened versus the locked forecast has not been published for this bout yet.

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The Lab's simulators currently run on a fixed library of historical example fights, so this exact matchup is not available there yet. They are research tools and can disagree with the official forecast.

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