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FIGHT FORECAST
Drew Dober
Fighter profile

Drew Dober

Lightweight · UFC record 15-11 (1 NC) · 27 detailed UFC fights · Last fight Sat 7 Mar 2026

Power Striker

Next bout: vs Chris Duncan · UFC 334: Gane vs Hokit · Sat 14 Nov 2026

Fighter ratings

Ratings V2Rated
Striking (offense)76
Power90
Striking defense71
Takedown defense72
WrestlingProvisional measure59

Ratings V2 descriptive 0–100 scores (27 detailed fights; as of Sat 7 Mar 2026). Not win probabilities or rankings. Missing values stay unavailable.

Chin and Cardio · Frozen through October 17, 2026

R1 research scale
ChinEvidence: ESTABLISHED82.2
CardioEvidence: ESTABLISHED71.5

Source: R1 public_candidate_display · status: Research candidate · as of Sat 17 Oct 2026. Separate frozen research scale; fights after October 17, 2026 are not reflected.

About these ratings

Ratings are domain-specific descriptive scales. Equal point differences across different domains do not imply equal absolute skill differences.

Striking (offense) · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 striking-offense score built from recorded significant strikes landed per round, significant-strike accuracy and significant-strike differential.
Power · Ratings V2
Recorded knockdown and KO/TKO-win threat under the Ratings V2 contract (knockdowns per round, KO/TKO win rate); not literal measured punching force.
Striking defense · Ratings V2
Recorded strike avoidance (striking defense) and bounded absorption (strikes absorbed per round) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Takedown defense · Ratings V2
Recorded defense against incoming takedown attempts (takedown defense rate) under the Ratings V2 contract.
Wrestling · Ratings V2
Ratings V2 wrestling-offense score: recorded takedowns landed per round and takedown accuracy. Not ground control or complete grappling.
Chin · R1 research scale
Exposure-adjusted recorded knockdown resistance. This is not a direct biological measurement of chin, recovery, or injury resistance.
Cardio · R1 research scale
Recorded later-round striking activity and effectiveness retention. This is not a direct physiological fitness measurement.

Ratings V2 scores follow each fighter's latest recorded state; R1 research-scale scores are frozen through 17 Oct 2026. Recovery is separate metadata, not a rating. No combined rating exists.

Profile

Height
173 cm (5'8")
Reach
178 cm (5'10")
Stance
Southpaw
Age
38

Last 3: L L W (most recent last)

Career statistics

Descriptive

27 detailed UFC fights · 55 rounds of recorded statistics. Exact totals from recorded UFC fights through Sat 7 Mar 2026; not opponent-adjusted and not model inputs.

Strikes landed18.1significant, per round
Strikes absorbed17.5per round
Striking differential+0.6per round
Takedown attempts0.96per round
Takedown defense58.2%of attempts stopped
Finish rate80.0%of UFC wins

Striking

Significant strikes landed per round
18.1
Significant strikes absorbed per round
17.5
Differential per round (landed − absorbed)
+0.6
Striking accuracy
41.0%
Striking defense (opponent strikes avoided)
53.1%
Knockdowns per round
0.18
Target: head / body / leg
63.2% / 22.6% / 14.2%
Position: distance / clinch / ground
79.5% / 11.2% / 9.4%

Per-round figures divide recorded totals by rounds with statistics. Shares are of significant strikes landed.

Wrestling and grappling

Takedown attempts per round
0.96
Takedowns landed per round
0.16
Takedown accuracy
17.0%
Takedown defense
58.2%
Control time per round
0:32
Submission attempts per round
0.02
Reversals per round
0.02

Attempts and landed takedowns are counted separately; accuracy is landed ÷ attempted.

Outcomes and durability

UFC record (W-L-D, NC)
15-11-0, 1 NC
Finish rate (wins by KO/TKO or submission)
80.0%
Wins by KO/TKO · submission · decision
11 · 1 · 3
Losses by KO/TKO · submission · decision
3 · 4 · 4
Knockdowns scored / suffered
10 / 3
Average fight time
7:55 (over 24 bouts)

Results as recorded by UFCStats. Fight time is elapsed time (completed rounds plus ending time) and includes draws and no-contests. These are outcomes, not biological measurements.

UFC fight history

Drew Dober — most recent UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 7 Mar 2026Michael JohnsonWKO/TKO PunchR2 1:53UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Sat 18 Oct 2025Kyle PrepolecWKO/TKO PunchesR3 1:16UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Sat 29 Mar 2025Manuel TorresLKO/TKO PunchesR1 1:45UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg
Sat 13 Jul 2024Jean SilvaLKO/TKOR3 1:28UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez
Sat 3 Feb 2024Renato MoicanoLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov
Show all 27 UFC fights
Drew Dober — earlier UFC fights
DateOpponentResultMethodEndEvent
Sat 7 Oct 2023Ricky GlennWKO/TKO PunchesR1 2:36UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
Sat 6 May 2023Matt FrevolaLKO/TKO PunchR1 4:08UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Sat 17 Dec 2022King GreenWKO/TKO PunchR2 2:45UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Sat 30 Jul 2022Rafael AlvesWKO/TKO PunchR3 1:30UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
Sat 12 Mar 2022Terrance McKinneyWKO/TKO PunchesR1 3:17UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Sat 12 Jun 2021Brad RiddellLU-DECR3 5:00UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Sat 6 Mar 2021Islam MakhachevLSUB Arm TriangleR3 1:37UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
Wed 13 May 2020Alexander HernandezWKO/TKO PunchesR2 4:25UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira
Sat 18 Jan 2020Nasrat HaqparastWKO/TKO PunchR1 1:10UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Sat 29 Jun 2019Marco Polo ReyesWKO/TKO PunchesR1 1:07UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos
Sat 9 Mar 2019Beneil DariushLSUB ArmbarR2 4:41UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Sat 25 Aug 2018Jon TuckWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick
Sat 27 Jan 2018Frank CamachoWU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2
Sat 29 Jul 2017Joshua BurkmanWKO/TKO PunchR1 3:04UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Sat 10 Dec 2016Olivier Aubin-MercierLSUB Rear Naked ChokeR2 2:57UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
Sat 10 Sep 2016Jason GonzalezWKO/TKO PunchR1 1:45UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Sat 2 Jan 2016Scott HoltzmanWU-DECR3 5:00UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
Sat 13 Jun 2015Efrain EscuderoLSUB Guillotine ChokeR1 0:54UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
Sat 21 Mar 2015Leandro SilvaNCOverturned Guillotine ChokeR2 2:45UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Sat 13 Dec 2014Jamie VarnerWSUB Rear Naked ChokeR1 1:52UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Sat 31 May 2014Nick HeinLU-DECR3 5:00UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Sat 30 Nov 2013Sean SpencerLU-DECR3 5:00The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale

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