Main event · MiddleweightOfficial forecast
Brendan AllenvsChristian Leroy Duncan
Model pick: Christian Leroy Duncan
Brendan Allen won by SUB Rear Naked Choke · round 5, 2:46
✗ Forecast missedReview published
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs Duncan
Sat 10 Oct 2026
Completed
Event summary
Official record5-645.5% of 11 scored
Not scored1No official forecast, card change, draw or no contest
Average log loss0.777Lower is better
Brier score0.29Lower is better
Results by bout
LightweightOfficial forecast
Matheus CamilovsJai Herbert
Model pick: Matheus Camilo
Jai Herbert won by U-DEC · round 3, 5:00
✗ Forecast missedReview published
Women's StrawweightOfficial forecast
Loopy GodinezvsKetlen Souza
Model pick: Loopy Godinez
Loopy Godinez won by U-DEC · round 3, 5:00
✓ Forecast correctReview published
FeatherweightOfficial forecast
Andre FilivsKai Kamaka III
Model pick: Kai Kamaka III
Andre Fili won by KO/TKO Kick · round 2, 0:22
✗ Forecast missedReview published
Light HeavyweightOfficial forecast
Julius WalkervsGerald Meerschaert
Model pick: Julius Walker
Julius Walker won by KO/TKO Punches · round 2, 3:35
✓ Forecast correct
BantamweightOfficial forecast
Malcolm WellmakervsOtari Tanzilovi
Model pick: Otari Tanzilovi
Otari Tanzilovi won by KO/TKO Kick · round 2, 2:39
✓ Forecast correctReview published
LightweightOfficial forecast
Francisco PradovsIsmael Bonfim
Model pick: Francisco Prado
Francisco Prado won by KO/TKO Punches · round 1, 4:23
✓ Forecast correct
WelterweightOfficial forecast
Niko PricevsLeon Shahbazyan
Model pick: Leon Shahbazyan
Niko Price won by KO/TKO Punches · round 1, 1:58
✗ Forecast missed
Light HeavyweightOfficial forecast
Felipe FrancovsBrendson Ribeiro
Model pick: Felipe Franco
Brendson Ribeiro won by SUB Guillotine Choke · round 1, 1:49
✗ Forecast missed
HeavyweightOfficial forecast
Allen Frye Jr.vsRJ Harris
Model pick: RJ Harris
Allen Frye Jr. won by KO/TKO Punches · round 1, 2:59
✗ Forecast missed
Women's BantamweightOfficial forecast
Alice PereiravsDaria Zhelezniakova
Model pick: Alice Pereira
Alice Pereira won by KO/TKO · round 1, 5:00
✓ Forecast correct
Women's FlyweightOfficial forecast
Ernesta KareckaitevsMelissa Gatto
Model pick: Melissa Gatto
Draw or no contest — not scored
Model details
- Winner model
- Fight Forecast winner model (previous, V5)
- Training data through
- 2026-09-19
- Forecast snapshot
- 4 Oct 2026, 04:05 UTC